Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 2.098651 2.393385 2.717089 3.099388 3.539076 4.029541 4.618989
2025-10-19 1.703719 2.096550 2.563697 3.161774 3.909496 4.816491 6.004776
2025-10-26 1.427787 1.872528 2.437957 3.213147 4.253974 5.611098 7.527815
2025-11-02 1.178155 1.631007 2.240485 3.126654 4.392207 6.149496 8.800625
2025-11-09 0.968620 1.404829 2.021489 2.965093 4.387349 6.474596 9.813094
2025-11-16 0.843381 1.275762 1.914866 2.939442 4.562015 7.067853 11.299328
2025-11-23 0.735668 1.155515 1.801396 2.881245 4.669692 7.563003 12.697776
2025-11-30 0.689887 1.123395 1.816379 3.022894 5.109795 8.642166 15.223912
2025-12-07 0.638457 1.074403 1.796160 3.100409 5.448525 9.593126 17.674007
2025-12-14 0.577805 1.001730 1.726283 3.080747 5.610265 10.250303 19.684235
2025-12-21 0.511429 0.910843 1.613468 2.968063 5.583810 10.554225 21.057068
2025-12-28 0.489473 0.896331 1.633734 3.101668 6.036837 11.823940 24.558558
2026-01-04 0.469521 0.884355 1.659325 3.253213 6.555834 13.318760 28.836038
2026-01-11 0.440777 0.852355 1.643349 3.320852 6.915512 14.545159 32.761303
2026-01-18 0.413526 0.820024 1.622746 3.376018 7.256743 15.784304 36.946684
2026-01-25 0.374421 0.759393 1.538343 3.285420 7.267227 16.296307 39.505569
2026-02-01 0.332493 0.688282 1.424289 3.115445 7.074272 16.313768 40.845720
2026-02-08 0.307875 0.650975 1.377235 3.088554 7.208077 17.117441 44.339809
2026-02-15 0.282963 0.610345 1.318495 3.027302 7.251062 17.706882 47.378967
2026-02-22 0.276556 0.609760 1.347916 3.176611 7.831333 19.727799 54.736210
2026-03-01 0.265482 0.597416 1.349291 3.258328 8.253054 21.407439 61.467016
2026-03-08 0.248397 0.569394 1.311306 3.237616 8.405504 22.394615 66.357360
2026-03-15 0.226711 0.528355 1.238257 3.118864 8.279441 22.599502 68.904231